Crane Games can be very tricky. Sometimes you feel like you have the upper advantage because you can visualize how the claw will precisely grip your prize, but this is really just an illusion. The game does take some skill, but the prediction of an outcome based on the mechanics of the claw should be taken a step further. You can't just assume the claw will pick up an object and drop it. The claw is usually very weak and jerks around even if you get an object. After you take these factors into account I think you can judge the outcome more accurately.
